Global Economic Prospects - World Bank

The global economy has shown notable resilience to heightened trade tensions and policy uncertainty. Last year’s faster-than-expected pace of growth capped a recovery from the 2020 recession unmatched in six decades, even if vulnerable emerging market and developing economies are lagging behind. This year, global growth is projected to edge down, in part as firms scale back inventory accumulation and tariff effects intensify. Growth could falter further if trade tensions escalate or financial market sentiment deteriorates. Global action to improve the trade environment, ease financing constraints, and mitigate climate risks, together with domestic reforms to diversify trade, strengthen macroeconomic policy frameworks, and remove structural bottlenecks, will be essential to catalyze private investment, sustain growth, and foster robust job creation.